Beyond Finance Weekly Alpha Report 18/01/2026
Is this the start of the liquidity floodgates?
Good afternoon/good evening/good morning!
Hopefully you’ve had a nice profitable week in dtao land… I know we have inside Beyond Finance!
But if you haven’t, have no fear…… I smell liquidity on the horizon!
Lets dive straight into this weeks alpha!
This Week’s Mindset Tip
The market does not reward intelligence, opinions, or effort. It rewards a trained brain.
Every trade is decided in your brain before it is ever executed.
Winning traders are not calmer, smarter, or luckier.
They have simply trained their brains through thousands of repetitions to recognize patterns, regulate emotion, and act without hesitation or fear.
Experience wires confidence. Repetition creates clarity.
Discipline is not willpower, it is neurological conditioning.
Losing traders hesitate, overthink, or act impulsively because their brains are flooded with uncertainty and emotion.
Winning traders execute smoothly because their thinking and feeling are aligned.
They trust the signal, accept risk, and already know their exit.
The lesson:
Do not try to trade better. Train your brain better.
Mastery comes from years of deliberate practice until the right action feels calm, obvious, and automatic.
Your brain is your only real edge.
Train it relentlessly.
Market Vibes: Stocks, Crypto & $TAO
Right, macro time!
US markets continue to post ATH’s with a relentless grind upwards.
Not a huge fan of the grinding and rounding price action on the S&P BUT this can be in distribution while we get a blow off top in crypto land and this is what we want as TAO holders!
Following the price action here is a good sign of where we might be in terms of a cycle top though…
The more this looks like rolling over and breaking down the closer we are to the end of the cycle/topping.
The 4 year cycle low for the S&P is late 2026 (which is also BTC’s 4 year cycle low) so at some point in the near future we are expecting a rollover and move down into those lows… So keep your eye out
The Russell 2000 or R2K has broken out of this huge cup and handle pattern and is starting to accelerate north which is a GREAT sign for breadth widening in the economy (money flowing down to smaller businesses - another sign of shifting to a risk ON environment)
As shown before on the monthly time frame this has happened many times before and it looks like the next few months could be pretty damn bullish!
BUT REMEMBER
This is a market… anything is possible…
Talking about blow off tops….
Silver is on a CHARGE and currently stepping up the angles as we form a blow off top.
This has gone on longer than I thought but it looks like it wants $100 so I’d be betting on a reversal and breakdown just as we hit that level or slightly higher.
Gold also still grinding upwards so just a bit of patience required here as metals find their tops and then HOPEFULLY we get that big capital rotation from risk OFF to risk ON as per prior market cycles.
Monitoring closely of course…….
Onto BTC.
We’ve had the DSS bressert cross confirmation on the weekly chart now as shown below.
We’ve also had a breakout of the red trendline.
BUT as you can see we have run into all the EMA’s and still have the black base support to get through.
I want to see it above 105k and hold this level first and then we can think about higher targets but the signs of a potential recovery are there!
A sign of where we are in this cycle is whether we get a low high rollover or a higher low and continuation so we are moving into a REALLY important moment for BTC in the coming weeks….
I am watching SUPER closely.
I’d love to see USDT.D rollover here and find that hole as per prior levels in the 2021 blow off top moments…
It HAS lost the step black trendline BUT is also looking like a breakout possible back test and resumption so again, eyes peeled here.
TAO is looking pretty similar to BTC in terms of where price action is.
I want to see it ABOVE 375-400 and hold then lets look to the next targets.
One step at a time, we got this!
Slow progress here but the signs are there and I think we will know more on a direction VERY SOON.
Watch this space.
dTAO Land
Where the hell do we start here then?
The last 14 days or so have seen liquidity flowing in very nicely indeed.
A number of big wallets who have been parked in root have started allocating HEAVILY into the larger subnets such as:
44, 3, 75, 9 and a few others which have now slowed down a bit.
We’ve also had the rise of the covenant subnets as they show real promise:
3, 39 and 81.
As people pile into these subnets the taoflow increases and that pushes up the emissions higher than the price
This is then kicks in on chain buying (chain buys to push price up to match emissions)
as seen here a lot of the strong movers over 7 days are the ones with the highest chain buying. I like to allocate with wind behind me, rather than walking head on into it.
These are great subnets to have an allocation too as they just truck north steadily each day as more people jump onboard and then chain buying increases again.
They are generally less volatile and add a good balance to your portfolio.
But if you fancy some serious ROI on a weekly basis like me
And you can handle the emotional roll coaster of course..
Then you want to be in the lower priced subnets..
Check out some of these 7 day returns.
To successfully navigate these low price low liquidity subnets you MUST have a clear trading system with defined rules for you to follow
This reduces the emotions and allows you execute like a robot.
Before you enter a trade you must know your
Entries
Profit targets
Exit strategies
Clear stop losses/invalidation levels.
Position size & risk determined
Because if you don’t, you WILL get REKT eventually.
And I don’t want that for any of you.
While the volatility might seem scary, it is exactly what we want as traders because once we have a system to work around we can turn this volatility into some CRAZY ROI’s.
This is exactly what we focus on inside Beyond Finance as we continue to post consistent gains across the board with our winners outsizing our losers….. Trading our systems and reaping the rewards!
With the noticeable increase in liquidity coming in, the floor price for these lower priced subnets has increased to basically 0.003 and above now, so the timing window for these massive gains is getting shorter and shorter
BUT I do believe we will continue to see this type of price action for a while yet, so we are focussed on making the most of it while its here and I hope you are too!
What I’m thinking atm…
My base case is a crypto final blow off top in the next few months, liquidity floods into dtao as we move into the more usual speculative frenzy we see near the final moments of crypto tops and then we head down into the end of 2026 bear market lows.
The focus is getting out somewhere near that top and sidestepping our TAO bags and re buying the lows.
I believe by focussing on the bear market accumulation you will protect yourself more from getting greedy when you start to hear the usual
‘SUPER CYCLE’
‘4 YEAR CYCLE IS DEAD’
‘BTC 500K’
When you hear this GET THE HELL OUT.
Or at least start heavily de risking your portfolio.
But no worries because i’ll be shouting from the rooftops about this and helping the community lock in those profits when we get there.
It will be tough but our systems will help us navigate the storm.
So, for now we continue stacking TAO and we keep our eyes peeled for a top in the not too distance future.
Long and strong!
Have a great week and catch you next Sunday!
Cheers
Jared
Beyond Finance
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