Beyond Finance Weekly Alpha Report

I see nothing but HUGE opportunity.......

Good afternoon/good evening/good morning!

Hopefully you’ve been stacking some extra TAO via the subnets/sidestepping these last few weeks to ease the pain of TAO price falling off a cliff.

Apologies for missing the last few reports but I’ve been mega busy cooking up a storm for the Beyond Finance community!

Lot’s to catch up on here so let’s dive right into it shall we?!

The markets might make our portfolio values look like shit, but I see nothing but opportunity ahead right now and I couldn’t be more excited for what is to come…

This Week’s Mindset Tip

What is sunk cost fallacy and why is it so important to understand and be aware of in trading & investing?

The sunk cost fallacy in trading is the dangerous illusion that you must hold onto a losing position because you’ve already invested capital, time, or emotion into it—ignoring the simple truth that past losses are irrecoverable and should never dictate future decisions.

1. This bias leads traders to cling to failing trades, hoping to break even, rather than cutting losses and reallocating capital to higher-probability opportunities

2. The result? Compounded losses, missed wins, and eroded discipline.

To avoid it, define your entry and exit rules before you trade—base every decision on current market conditions and future potential, not your entry price.

3. Ask yourself: “If I didn’t own this, would I buy it now?” If the answer is no, walk away.

Profitability isn’t about being right—it’s about staying rational.

Onto the markets……

Market Vibes: Stocks, Crypto & $TAO

Well, the last few weeks have been pretty volatile to say the least…

The US markets are looking VERY toppy and are on the edge of having significant rollovers which would be very telling as to where we are in this cycle and what could play out next…

The S&P500 violently trading this sideways range - lose this and we could have some holes to fill lower down.

The dow jones hanging in there on this angle.. Looking for a bounce ASAP to have a chance of moving higher and maybe higher prices across the board…

Nasdaq looking similar to S&P

and surprisingly the Russel 2000 is still looking pretty bullish providing we get a nice bounce here Monday/Tuesday.

This is interesting because this is usually a sign of breadth expanding in the economy which can lead too RISK ON moments as we have seen in the past 2 crypto cycle tops.

The issue is, we just haven’t seen capital flow into crypto at all yet… and most altcoins for over a year now!

Gold and silver had that MENTAL sell off over 2 days which is very rare in these assets. (20% gold and 40% silver)

And the worst part is, NONE of that rotated into crypto which is a worrying sign.

Golds looking quite bullish again now after a nice bounce and recovery which leads me to believe it could have one final move up before rolling over and down into its 8 year half cycle low (4th year) due this later this year in sync with Stocks and BTC interestingly.

Will THAT topping moment allow us to move slightly more risk on but just wayyy later than expected?

With everyone screaming we are in a bear market and we’re going much lower, I always begin to start thinking what would max pain be from here?

V reversal in BTC leading to a strong relief rally and a lower high/marginal higher high before THEN rolling over and down into the cycle lows in Q3/Q4?

This would truly capitulate EVERYONE.

Now I am by means saying this is going to happen, but I’m just saying that anything is possible, AND the market makers are ALWAYS searching for max pain events to liquidate as many people as possible.

This would be the way….

OR are we ACTUALLY in a bear market now?

This is looking like the most probable scenario and one we have to be prepared for.

The last 2 times we were this oversold on the weekly RSI was the prior 2 bear markets….. It either marked the absolute bottom OR we were very close.

We’ve got down to these levels VERY FAST which was totally unexpected after never having the final blow off top moment we are used to seeing when altcoins pop off and BTC goes crazy.

So, what I’m thinking with this scenario is that we are forming our bottoming structure right now.

This does not mean WE DON’T go lower because I think we likely will with a wick below 50k being pretty painful for BTC miners (usually this final moment comes in the form of an event like the FTX collapse (2022) or mount gox in the prior cycle.)

So keep an eye out for something like this to be the bottom before we start heading back up.

Will it look something like this?

But the cool thing is this should not scare anyone.

You should be excited at the opportunity to stack more TAO, BTC, Gold etc…

For us, it’s obviously TAO and with subnets continuing to do really well even with the crypto market doing shockingly badly over the last few months this is an amazing sign.

A sign that this eco system is maturing all the time.

What some of the subnets are doing is incredible, and we’re starting to see some of them begin to really take off which is a sign that more and more people will begin to clock onto the potential being built on this network.

WE’RE JUST SO GOD DAMN EARLY!

And because we’re so early, we have a massive opportunity to embed ourselves in this eco system and stack some serious TAO

and the best part?

we can do this whether the market is going up OR down…

Trading..

Mining…

Sidestepping…

So stop staring at the value of your portfolio and start focussing on how to accumulate MORE TAO before the value/productivity of this network gets priced into the market.

Just look out 12-24 months….

2-3k TAO is MORE than achievable

ESPECIALLY with this MASSIVE money printing cycle about to begin which will only add fuel to the fire!

We are in the right place at the right time and this year ahead could be the best opportunity of our lifetimes so it’s time to DIAL THE HELL IN!

The TAO accumulation race IS ON!!

LETS GO!

I’ll catch you mid week for a dtao round up because there is just TO MUCH going on this space and this article will turn into an essay before I know it and we don’t want that on a Sunday!

See you then,

Cheers

Jared

Beyond Finance

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Trader & Investor of 10 years. Founder @Beyond Finance - Built to help teach & support others to become better traders/investors with a focus on building wealth within the Bittensor eco-system. Free weekly ‘Beyond Alpha’ report

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